Motley Moose – Archive

Since 2008 – Progress Through Politics

Academy Awards – Your Oscar Predictions [Updated with Results]

Finally! I wait every year, not patiently, for the Academy Awards, and this is The Big Night.  

Do you love movies as much as I do?  I have only seen a couple of the movies nominated, but it’s fun to watch the celebs on the red carpet (their hairdos and even more, the hair-don’ts), the jewelry and pero Dios mio, the dresses!) who can resist the glamour, the decadence, and so much Shiny Stuff only once a year?  Not me.

My aunt and I like to watch together.  Our big activity in the winter months to see all the movies before the awards, but not this year. Yes, since you asked, we do make a big production of it, and wear our best dresses to eat appetizers and get blasted drinking a pitcher of Oscar’s Big Night (recipe below).  This year, we can’t be together.  My husband’s taste in movies trends toward car chases or paranormal activities . . so I’m hoping there are some Meese who like movies?

Seth McFarlane (best known for an animated series on dysfunctional families (Family Guy is allegedly a postmodern Simpsons with some South Park flavor in the mix) is the host of this year’s awards. I’m not a fan but he was pret-ty hilarious on Jimmy Fallon’s show, in a Puppy Predictions skit.  (Okay, you got me. Jimmy as a host would have been amazing.) Without further adieu, here are our nominees.

Best Picture

  • Amour

  • Argo: WINNER!

  • Beasts of the Southern Wild

  • Django Unchained

  • Les Misérables

  • Life of Pi

  • Lincoln

  • Silver Linings Playbook

  • Zero Dark Thirty

    Who will win?

    Lincoln is the odds-on favorite, but I think Argo could be The Little Movie That Can.

    Who will win?

    I’ve only seen three (Argo, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Silver Linings Playbook.  I don’t have a particular favorite in this category . . . and since it’s always the last award at the finale of 3+ hours of TV, I’ll be tipsy if I’m awake.

    Best Actor in a Leading Role

  • Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)

  • Daniel Day-Lewis: WINNER! (Lincoln)

  • Hugh Jackman  (Les Misérables )

  • Joaquin Phoenix (The Master)

  • Denzel Washington (Flight)

    Who will win?

    Daniel Day-Lewis.

    Who should win?

    Can I just say Denzel Washington was pitch-frickin’ perfect in Flight?  What could have been a so-so couple of hours was an amazing roller coaster ride as Denzil crash-lands a commercial 737, becomes an instant hero, is stalked by the media, and cannot escape his inner demons and self-loathing, no matter how he tries.

    Best Actress in a Leading Role

  • Jessica Chastain (Zero Dark Thirty)

  • Jennifer Lawrence: WINNER! (Silver Linings Playbook)

  • Emmanuelle Riva (Amour)

  • Quvenzhané Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

  • Naomi Watts (The Impossible)

    Who will win?

    This one’s a toss-up between Naomi Watts and Jennifer Lawrence.

    Who should win?

    If I admitted being a betting woman, my money’s on Jennifer Lawrence.

    Quvenzhané Wallis is the most adorable, irrepressible six-year-old sprite of all time, and I really liked Beasts the first time I watched it.  

    Later on, it occurred to me that this is a film with some rather obvious stereotypes about poor black folks in Louisiana. An old theme in the history of literature, the tragic mulatto in this movie is a young child.

    Actually, she’s Hushpuppy to me, and yeah, she is The Man). Very bright future, if Hollywood can resist exploiting this precious, talented little sweetheart’s age and color.

    Best Actor in a Supporting Role

  • Alan Arkin (Argo)

  • Robert De Niro (Silver Linings Playbook)

  • Philip Seymour Hoffman (The Master)

  • Tommy Lee Jones (Lincoln)

  • Christoph Waltz: WINNER! 2 shots  (Django Unchained

    Who will win?

    Alan Arkin.

    Who should win?

    Alan Arkin.  The Ben Affleck snub still stings.

    Best Actress in a Supporting Role

  • Amy Adams (The Master)

  • Sally Field (Lincoln)

  • Anne Hathaway: WINNER (Les Misérables)

  • Helen Hunt (The Sessions)

  • Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)

    Who will win?

    I haven’t seen any of these.

    Who should win?

    What do you think?

    WHEN: 7 p.m. Eastern time.


    [poll id=”




    1. Ingredients:

         6 strawberries, hulled

         2 tbsp. grenadine

         2 tbsp. half-and-half

         light cream

         ginger ale

         ground ginger to taste

      Blend strawberries, half and half, and grenadine in a blender until smooth. Pour into a double old fashioned or highball glass.

      Option: Put the mix in the freezer, or through an ice shave machine.

      Add ginger ale and stir gently. Add ice to glass.

      Another Option: Sprinkle with ground ginger.

      Best Option: Add 1 1/2 oz rum.


    2. HappyinVT

      Wanted to go see Lincoln and Life of Pi but never did.

      Since I don’t have cable I’ll probably toss in one of the LOTR trilogy and/or take a nap and/or go to the grocery store (I need to go to the grocery store).

    3. would have been: Why Do You Choose Movies?

      i haven’t really thought about that too much.  my feeling is that anyone can tell a sad story, but anyone who can make me laugh is a treasure.

    4. anotherdemocrat

      number.  I do want to see the gorgeous Daniel Day Lewis pick up his award, but otherwise it’s the Walking Dead for me. Has anything good happened?

    5. Best Supporting Actor – Christoph Waltz, “Django Unchained”

      Best Animated Short Film – “Paperman”

      Best Animated Feature Film – “Brave”

      Best Cinematography – “Life of Pi”

      Best Visual Effects – “Life of Pi”

      Best Costume Design – “Anna Karenina”

      Best Makeup and Hairstyling – “Les Miserables”

      Best Live Action Short – “Curfew”

      Best Documentary Short – “Inocente”

      Best Documentary Feature – “Searching for Sugar Man”

      Best Foreign Language Film – “Amour”

      Best Sound Mixing – “Les Miserables”

    6. dear occupant

      any of the movies either, since i have such a nice setup at home i don’t go to the movies anymore. popcorn is better and cheaper at homemade.

      i generally like the Oscars especially when Billy Crystal was hosting but Mcfarlane, in a word, B R U T A L. they lost me in that opening sequence and i drifted to HBO , luckily there were a few episodes of Girls on that i hadn’t seen.

      Mcfarlane is a lightweight and he trivialized the event, at least for this viewer. he’d be more at home hosting America’s Funniest Videos.

      thanks for posting this diary Avila.

    Comments are closed.