Motley Moose – Archive

Since 2008 – Progress Through Politics

2010 Election Night Open Thread

Ripple, wave, or tsunami, who knows? It will all play out over the next few hours.

The earliest poll closings are listed below:

• Indiana

• Eastern Kentucky

7:00 pm ET

• Florida (except Western panhandle which close at 8 pm.)

• Georgia

• Western Kentucky

• New Hampshire

• South Carolina

• Vermont

• Virginia

Keep an eye on Indiana’s 2nd and 9th district results. These are two close races. A loss in the 9th won’t be much of an indicator, but a loss in the 2nd where Democratic Rep. Joe Donnelly is running for re-election could be a bad portent.

Which races are  you watching?

Full list of poll closings after the break:

6:00 pm ET  

• Indiana

• Eastern Kentucky

7:00 pm ET

• Florida (except Western panhandle which close at 8 pm.)

• Georgia

• Western Kentucky

• New Hampshire

• South Carolina

• Vermont

• Virginia

7:30 pm ET

• North Carolina

• Ohio

• West Virginia

8:00 pm ET

• Alabama

• Connecticut

• Delaware

• Washington, D.C.

• Illinois

• Kansas

• Maine

• Maryland

• Massachusetts

• Michigan

• Mississippi

• Missouri

• New Jersey

• Oklahoma

• Pennsylvania

• Tennessee

• Texas

8:30 pm ET

• Arkansas

9:00 pm ET

• Arizona

• Colorado

• Louisiana

• Minnesota

• Nebraska

• New Mexico

• New York

• North Dakota

• Rhode Island

• South Dakota

• Wisconsin

• Wyoming

10:00 pm ET

• Idaho

• Iowa

• Montana

• Nevada

• Oregon

• Utah

11:00 pm ET

• California

• Washington

12:00 am ET

• Alaska

• Hawaii


  1. Who’s going to be first in the Liberal Blogosphere to say ‘I told you so’ if Dems crash and burn badly, and blame Obama.

    Who’s going to be the first to blame doomsters in the same place in the same scenario.

    What if Dems do better than expected? Who eats crow most elegantly.

  2. Nate Silver makes an interesting call between heart and head on his NYT Liveblog

    Over the past 48 hours, we’ve posted a pair of companion pieces: a set of arguments for why Republicans could beat their polls and do even better than expected in the House, and a similar piece articulating a similar set of arguments for Democrats. A number of people, of course, have asked me which set of arguments I’m most inclined to believe. The fact is that intellectually, I think the arguments on the Democratic side are a little bit more compelling — particularly the issues surrounding the failure to poll voters who use only cellphones, about which there’s a fair amount of tangible evidence. Also, in terms of the Gallup likely voter poll — which has shown outstanding results for Republicans and has contributed to very lofty expectations, but which differs by several points from the consensus view — I think the most prudent stance is to treat the poll as an outlier until proven otherwise. Guilty until proven innocent, if you will. In my gut, though, I’m not sure I could bring myself to bet the under on the seat count line we’ve established, which is a Republican pickup of about 55 seats. Certainly, the signs of Democratic distress seem much more manifest:

  3. …and my read on things is not worth the paper it’s written on, especially if it’s no absorbent. But it seems to me that Obama’s legislative powers are stymied for the next two years. However, he did an amazing amount in the last two years, so it’s not the end of the world.

    However, should a major executive crisis happen, then the right man’s in the right place. And like Reagan he will be rewarded for it

    Legislatively, what matters now is a refreshed mandate for 2012. Obama could hold the course, focus more on the Head of State stuff rather than getting lost in the detail and deal making. Then these results, bad as they are, could be reversed in 2012.

    Anyone else got any alternatives? The idea, mooted by DTO, that he wouldn’t run seems to be unlikely, unless there’s an amazing challenged in RFK mould (and I don’t see one). I also can’t see any Republican Presidential Challenger who wouldn’t be crushed against him in 2012. Then the coat-tails should work again.

    All in all, this means more discipline in Democratic ranks. With no alternative the Firebaggers are on a route to nowhere. The progressive left should make sure it has plenty of candidates in place, but trying to halt Obama becomes a completely suicidal strategy.

  4. Shaun Appleby

    Looking at the CNN ‘Tea Party vote’ nationwide looks a lot like the George Wallace presidential map in 1968.

  5. MSNBC is killing me. First they show Paul’s and Rubio’s victory speeches and now they are showing O’Donnell’s concession speech.

    I think it’s time to read a book. I’ve got a Bernard Cornwell novel half-finished. I thought I’d read all the Sharpe’s series, but I guess I missed some early ones or he has written some since I last checked…

    That explains it. I checked a biblio and found that the first few books in the series weren’t released in the US until 2005 and then it was only two of the first five books. That explains why I found Sharpe’s Triumph and Sharpe’s Fortress at the used book store. Now to figure out how I can get my hands on the other three that were only published in the UK. Hmmm… Who do I know that lives in England?

  6. She’s got one hell of a good mind. I think she could get me to become a lesbian.

    Oh, Noes!!!! Now they are showing Michelle Bachmann.

    Bachmann said this election shows the country is worried about big spending. Then she said what congress must do is extend the tax cuts, repeal health care reform, and secure the border. Uh, that looks like the opposite. The tax cuts add 4 trillion to the deficit, health care reform actually lowers the deficit, and border security is going to cost even more money. Could someone explain to me how they are going to reduce the deficit without cutting the defense budget?

  7. But please remember guys that if the Senate remains Democratic, it will be better than Clinton in 1994, because he lost both.

    Still hoping to keep the Republican House majority down a little.

    Don’t despair. Sniff glue. Drink coconut. Eat nutmeg.

    Tomorrow is another day…

  8. rfahey22

    Well, it was a nice (?) two-year run.  It seems like 1996 all over again.  The one bright spot is that the Republicans will now have to actually pretend to care about governing and make the occasional compromise, alienating their base.

  9. HappyinVT

    Speaker Boehner’s pained expressions while he sits on his ass refusing to applaud anything the president says.

  10. DTOzone

    Democratic State Senator in Queens won reelection tonight (and Dems picked up the last Republican Seat in Albany in the borough)

    At the victory party, the cheering was louder when the Republicans won the House, and a laugh erupted when someone suggested we “send the n*gg*r back to the projects in Chicago where he belongs”

    These were Democrats…just sayin’

  11. Shaun Appleby

    Didn’t see this coming but of course, Bill Clinton the salvation.  Big dog!  I’m with that, but still…

    Gotta say the mainstream commentary is insipid bordering on imbecilic.

  12. Shaun Appleby

    It’s gonna take Republicans a year to unravel this.  And they are right in the ‘red zone’ when it comes to economic policy.  One false move and the next cycle of economic crisis is straight on to their heads.

  13. Shaun Appleby

    From Wonkette discussing Boehner’s tearful victory speech:

    100 years from today when somebody Googles “boner” and “choked” this will be the first thing that pops up.

    To which someone quipped:

    Not after I get done with Christine O’Donnell it won’t.

    Just had to share that.

  14. Maybe this is worth a separate diary or thread, but one issue I’m reading on some liberal blogs was that Dems lost because they didn’t go for a public option on HCR.

    This contradicts every bit of polling coming out of the mid terms, where it seems Dems were punished for paying excessive attention to HCR rather than the economy was the problem. The public option wouldn’t have made HCR less time consuming or easier to pass.

    Personally, I blame both sides. The Dems got waylaid by fights over HCR and the public option. They were punished, as most parties are, for in-fighting. But what do I know. Thoughts?

  15. DeniseVelez

    Maurice Hinchey win.  

    Dropped over to GoS for a few moments this morning and found much of what I expected to see.  Bracing for a slew of “teh stoopid” primary Obama in 2012 diaries, which had already begun a long time ago but will now increase exponentially.

    Here’s a short list:

    Here’s a list of primary challengers I’ve seen mentioned:




    H. Clinton



    J. Edwards (roflmao)




    I’ll relax here at the Moose and continue to post in the relative sanity of Black Kos, though yesterday I was attacked for being a full-blown racist when I dared poke my head outside of our safe space.  

    I have the luxury of being a NY’er so it was with glee that I watched the drubbing Paladino took – though I have no love for Andrew Cuomo.  

    Hugs to all who lost battles in their areas.  

    Kudos to the Latino voters who helped put certain folks back in office in CA and other areas.

    Too sleepy to look at much preliminary exit polling data at this point.

    Good morning.  

  16. HappyinVT

    good morning…the sun is shining here in VT for the first time in a long time.  Had frost on the cars, too, for the first time this year.

    I refuse to wallow in misery.  We’ve been in crappy places before and have survived.

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