Motley Moose – Archive

Since 2008 – Progress Through Politics

Start Your Morning Off Right

So, I’ve been having a look at the latest maps the last couple of days, and things are looking better and better for us.  Maybe what I’m doing here is a bit controversial, but this by far is my favorite map:

That’s right, I follow Rove’s maps. I keep an eye on the enemy (can’t handle FreeRepublic, but RedState I can deal with), and Rove in particular. This one is from October 29th, just yesterday, and is more than a little promising. Rove had Obama clinching the election all the way back at the beginning of October, but if his newest map is any indication, we’re drawing closer and closer to a landslide. Say what you want, but Rove is unlikely to damage his “credibility” by releasing an unrealistic or misleading map. KKKarl currently has Obama up 311 electoral votes to McCain’s 157, with 70 still unaccounted for as toss-ups. And several of the toss-up states are trending our way.

From Truth Caucus:

Rove’s analysis states: National polls have started to show the presidential race tightening, but 66 state polls released so far this week haven’t captured any significant movement toward John McCain. In fact, since Sunday, Nevada (5 EV) has flipped from toss-up to Obama, giving him 311 electoral votes to McCain’s 157, with 70 as a toss-up. McCain still needs to pick up all of the current toss-up states-which all went for Bush in both 2000 and 2004-and peel off several large states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Virginia from Obama.

Have a look at these polling trends from September 1st to October 29th:

I, of course, have a special reason for liking Rove’s maps.  Some of you may be aware that I’m the only person in my family who isn’t a Republican, meaning that they’re stubborn, devoted to Faux News, and sometimes unable to face reality. My mother in particular was convinced that McCain is still going to defeat Obama handily in the end (don’t ask me where she got that idea, I have no clue – you can probably guess that she doesn’t follow the election very closely). In an attempt to disabuse her of that notion, I sought out Rove’s new map yesterday and rang her. She was disinclined to fault his analysis. So I’m encouraged, my mother is being forced to face reality, and my excitement about Tuesday is approaching a fever pitch.

Be of good cheer, folks. It’s almost over, and things are looking up


  1. Kysen

    but I like what Karl has done with that map.

    You are far braver than I….I just can’t cotton up to visiting those sites.

    George W. Bush got 271 in ’00, and 286 in ’04

    Bill Clinton got 370 in ’92, and 379 in ’96.

    Can’t wait to see how Obama does.

    5 days.

    Oy Vey.


  2. GrassrootsOrganizer

    They didn’t discuss it but I swear the CNN “big board” just showed Arkansas and Louisanna now “leaning McCain” and they’ve  changed Georgia along with Arizona to toss-up.  Holy shit!

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