You heard it here first.
I predict that Sarah Palin will form her own Political party/movement and run as a third party candidate in 2012.
Why not run as a Republican you ask?
Consider how she is being treated by elements within the Republican party currently.
We certainly can dislike her and point to her many (many many many)faults, but as members of the loyal opposition that is our job and she expects it from us. And while she may dislike us back, it is not unexpected.
Yet, the Republicans are near schism over the Palin issue. Some love her, some hate her. One faction goes so far as to say that if you are against Sarah Palin “You are dead to us”. Another faction is calling her a “whack job”.
Much has been written about Palin wanting to head the Republican party, or at least make a run in 2012. Which is not really crazy talk. As bad as her negatives are right now she IS the main draw at political rallies for the Republicans, and she IS a fund raising machine right now.
Yet, I honestly can not see her winning the Republican Primary in 4 years. To do so she would have to engage in multiple debates where many of her past transgressions will surface (can anyone say Alaska Independence Party?) in a way they haven’t this election cycle. The Republican moderates are not going to giver her the nomination, if for no other reason because to many she will be a major reason they lost this year.
The alternative? She is well liked enough to certain groups and can raise money, and has a history of flirting with 3rd party politics already, so she starts her own party. Something like “The American Conservative Party”. That will draw off a goodly chunk of the social conservatives and cripple the main GOP for 2012.
Indeed, if the Democrats can gain the upper hand amongst fiscal moderates (who like to call themselves fiscal conservatives) there will be only two major groups for the GOP to draw their votes from, Social conservatives and ultra- nationalists. A daunting task to win an election with, and impossible if Palin continues to go rogue.
Palin/Huckabee ACP party 2012. Watch it happen.
Dems in office until at least 2016