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Since 2008 – Progress Through Politics

Archive for September 2008

Why I’m a Democrat

Hey all!  I just thought I’d do something nobody’s really been doing of late.  I’m going to tell you why I’m a Democrat, why I believe in the party and why I agree with much of the ideology.

My mother was a union-member air traffic controller with the FAA.  Her job was pretty much to keep civilian air traffic (and if I recall correctly, the occasional military flight) safely taking off, landing, and in the air as needed.  This is an incredibly difficult and stressful job.  It is also one of the most important functions of our government.

The fact that my mom had this job had a bigger impact on my formative years than I realized at the time.

A Word of Caution – DON’T BLAME THE POLLSTERS

Okay folks, this one’s going to be brief.  Nate Silver over at FiveThirtyEight has a good piece on the merits of these recent shifts in party-identification and weighting and so forth, I recommend you read it.  http://www.fivethirtyeight.com…

(Crossposted at MyDD)

However, that analysis, however clever or correct, isn’t what I’m here to tell you.  Stop blaming the damned pollsters, it’s counter-productive if not outright STUPID!

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The Moose Is Watching

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Motley: Having elements of great variety or incongruity.

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The Moose was born on Wednesday, September 10, 2008.

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Breaking: Obama has a 37 per cent lead

Yes, that’s the margin of Barack Obama’s victory over John McCain if the world got a vote.

According to a BBC World Service Poll of twenty two countries Barack Obama is preferred to John McCain by four to one:


On average 49% preferred Mr Obama to 12% in favour of Mr McCain… On average 46% thought US relations with the world would improve with Mr Obama in the White House, 22% that ties would stay the same, while seven per cent expected relations to worsen. Only 20% thought ties would get better if Mr McCain were in the Oval Office.

Now I know ‘foreign support’ can be counterproductive for Democrats. I remember the Guardian in 2004 organising a campaign to get British people to contact Americans in Ohio to persuade them to vote for Kerry… Look how well that worked.

Cross Posted at MYDD

Welcome the Moose!

Welcome to Motley Moose, the first netroots Progressive blog to be created by a consortium of dedicated bloggers.  The Moose was created by twenty-five active writers who have been contributing to the tradtional Progressive Blogs such as MyDD (the Blogfather) and DailyKOS.  We felt it was time for a new type of forum to add to the matrix that has flourished on the Intertubes, something that is more focused on the  

The Widened Map Narrows a Tad

So the Obama campaign has gone dark in Georgia and is moving some of that staff from Georgia to North Carolina.  And so the last round of polling makes North Carolina and Montana look a lot less likely to swing our way.  So it goes.

Virginia still looks good.  North Dakota, oddly enough, still looks good.  Colorado, New Mexico, and Iowa still look fantastic.  We’re still up in New Hampshire.  Yes, we’ve won some of those states, off and on, in the last few cycles.  We have not done so consistently.  There is a point to this, and mark it well.

(Crossposted at MyDD)

John McCain on the Issues – Part 1 – Women’s Issues

Before the end of the Democratic primary process there was much speculation about Barack Obama’s support among women. The fact that Obama’s support amongst women was weak while he was running against a woman candidate gave many pundits all the excuse they needed to suggest that support would remain weak once the primaries ended. They were obviously wrong, as the current polls show.

Another premise put forward by some pundits is that women vote more with their emotions than on the issues. They are as wrong about this as they are about Obama’s weakness with female voters. All that is needed to disprove this claim is to look at women’s voting patterns over the years.

Women have always favored the Democratic Party over the GOP. The Democratic Party is also the party with the best record and issues platform when it comes to women’s issues. Put those two factors together and it becomes apparent that women have been voting on the issues all along.