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Since 2008 – Progress Through Politics

Further research on 50 vulnerable House Republicans: California and Colorado

(crossposted from Kos)

In this diary  I outlined a method for finding vulnerable Republican representatives. (I could not figure out how to get the image in that one to post here…..)

Now, it’s time for more research. Twitter handles. Positions. Dumbass statements. A start on this is below the fold; since this involves a lot of work and a lot of text, I’m dividing it up by state.  Today, California and Colorado.

Oh, and if YOU have information on these people, PLEASE share it.  

CALIFORNIA

In CA-10, Obama got 50.6% and Jeff Denham got 54%.  CA-10 centers on Modesto, CA. It is east of San Francisco and west of Yosemite; it includes Madera, Merced, Monterey, San Benito and Stanislaus counties. Denham has been in Congress since 2010, when he replaced the retiring George Radanovich in the old CA-19. In the 2012 race, he got $300,000 from the crop production industry and $184,000 from the casino industry. He outraised his opponent (Jose Hernandez), $2.7 million to $1.7 million. Denham tweets as @RepJeffDenham.

Denham has been endorsed by the NRA, the Chamber of Commerce and the Tea Party Express. Denham was one of 13 Republican House members targeted by Organizing for Action. CREW rated him as one of the most corrupt congressmen in 2010. Denham has filed papers to run for Lt. Gov. of CA in 2014. If he does run for re-election, opponents are Mike Barkley  and Michael Eggman.

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Obama got 54.6% of the vote in CA-21 where  David Valadao got 58%, beating John Hernandez by 16 points. CA-21 is a large district more or less in the center of CA. It is bisected by Interstate 5; it includes all of Tulare and part of Fresno counties.  Valadao is in his first term. His biggest sources of money were the crop production and dairy industry. In 2012, he raised $1.3 million and his opponent raised only $123,000. Valadao tweets as both @dgvaladao and @RepDavidValadao.

Valadao has been endorsed by the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Association, the NRA, the Chamber of Commerce and the Tea Party Express. Valadao  was one of 13 Republican House members targeted by Organizing for Action. Possible opponents in 2014 include Blong Xiong, Leticia Perez and Fran Florez.  See also this diary by RVKU.

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Obama got 47.8% in CA-25 where Buck McKeon got 56%.  CA-25 is due north of Los Angeles, but, because of the geography of the state, it is not coastal but central CA. It includes Santa Clarita and Palmdale. It includes part of Los Angeles and Ventura counties. McKeon has been a member of congress sinc 1993. In 2012, his biggest donors were various parts of the defense industry (McKeon is chair of the Armed Services committee, although he never served in the armed forces). In 2012 he raised almost $2,000,000 and his opponent raised $374,000. McKeon tweets as @BuckMcKeon.

McKeon has been endorsed by the NRA and the Chamber of Commerce. CREW rated McKeon has one of the most corrupt members of congress in 2012. The Buck stops now is a website aimed at his defeat in 2014, but there are no opponents that I know of.

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Obama got 57.2% of the vote in CA-31, where Gary Miller got 55%, but this was a strange case where the new California system of having a general primary and then a runoff hurt the Democrats, who fielded a lot of candidates.  CA-31 is a bizarrely shaped district due east of LA. It includes Rancho Cucamunga, San Bernadino and Redlands. Miller was first elected in 2002, but until this cycle represented CA-42. Miller has been the subject of numerous allegations of financial wrongdoing, including claiming that land he voluntarily sold to various cities was taken by eminent domain (thus allowing him to pay lower taxes) and directing government money to his favorite nonprofits.  He also appears to have lied about his military record, saying he served in Vietnam for two years when records show he was discharged after boot camp (see Harpers. In 2012, Miller’s biggest source of funds was the real estate industry. In 2012, he outraised his opponent $1.3 million to $387,000. Miller tweets as @RepGaryMiller.

Miller has been endorsed by the NRA and the Chamber of Commerce. Miller was one of 13 Republican House members targeted by Organizing for Action.  Opponents in 2014 include Pete Aguilar and possibly Kevin de Leon. See also this diary by RVKU.

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In CA-39 Obama got 47.1% and  Ed Royce got 59%.  CA-39 is southeast of LA and north of Anaheim; it includes parts of Los Angeles and Orange Counties. Royce has been in congress since 1993, serving as the representative of CA-40 until redistricting. In the 2012 cycle, his biggest donations came from the insurance and securities industries. He outraised his opponent, Joyce Chen, $2.7 million to $800,000. Royce tweets as @RepEdRoyce.

Royce has been endorsed by the Life Priority Network, the NRA and the Chamber of Commerce.  I know of no opponents.

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In CA-49, Obama got 45.7% while Darrell Issa got 59%.  CA-49 is a large coastal district between Los Angeles and San Diego. It includes San Clemente, Oceanside and Encinitas, it is mostly Sand Diego county. Issa has been in Congress since 2001. In 2012, his biggest donors were the retirement and legal industries. He outraised his opponent hugely: $2.5 million to $131,000; he has had far more money than every one of his opponents for Congress over the years. Issa tweets as @DarrellIssa.

Issa has been endorsed by the Life Priority Network, the NRA and the Chamber of Commerce. CREW rated Issa as one of the most corrupt members of congress in 2012.  I know of no opponents.

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here is a map of CA congressional districts, drawn by Daily Kos Elections.

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COLORADO

In CO-03 Obama got 45.8% while Scott Tipton got 53.4%.  CO-03 is the western half of CO. It includes Durango and Pueblo. Tipton was first elected in 2010, beating John Salazar. In 2012 his biggest donors were the retirement and oil and gas industry. In 2012, he raised $2.3 million and his opponent raised $2.0 million.  Tipton tweets as @RepTipton.

Tipton has been endorsed by the Gun Owners of America, the NRA and the Chamber of Commerce. Potential opponents include Joseph Garcia, Angela Giron and Gail Schwartz.

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Obama got 51.6% in CO-06 where Mike Coffman got 49% (his Democratic opponent got 45%, the remainder was split between Kathy Polhemus (unaffiliated) and Patrick Provost (libertarian)).   CO-06 wraps around most of Denver. Coffman was first elected in 2008. In 2012 his biggest donors were the retirement and oil and gas industries. Coffman tweets as @RepMikeCoffman.

Coffman has been endorsed by the NRA and the Chamber of Commerce. One potential opponent, Morgan Carroll, has said she is not running. , Andrew Romanoff is running. See also this diary by RVKU.

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Here is a map of CO’s congressional districts

Sources:

Wikipedia, DKE, Open Secrets, Twitter, Organizing for America, Vote Smart, CREW, Ballotopedia.

Still to come:

FL-02          Southerland, Steve           46.5

FL-07          Mica, John                       47.1

FL-10         Webster, Dan                  45.7

FL-13          Young, Bill                       50.1

FL-15         Ross, Dennis                   45.6

FL-25          Diaz-Balart, Mario             48.7

FL-27          Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana          53.1

IA-03          Latham, Tom                    51.4

IL-13           Davis, Rodney                 48.6

MI-06         Upton, Fred                      48.8

MI-07         Walberg, Tim                    47.9

MI-08         Rogers, Mike J.                 48.0

MI-11          Bentivolio, Kerry               46.9

MN-02         Kline, John                       49.1

MN-03         Paulsen, Erik                    49.6

NE-02         Terry, Lee                      45.7

NV-03         Heck, Joe                        49.5

NJ-03          Runyan, Jon                     51.8

NJ-05         Garrett, Scott                   47.9

NJ-07          Lance, Leonard                46.3

NJ-11          Frelinghuysen, Rodney       46.6

NY-02         King, Peter                       51.6

NY-11         Grimm, Michael                  51.6

NY-22         Hanna, Richard                 48.8

NY-23          Reed, Tom                      48.4

OH-01         Chabot, Steve                 46.3

OH-10         Turner, Michael                48.2

OH-14         Joyce, David                    47.6

PA-06         Gerlach, Jim                     48.1

PA-07          Meehan, Pat                   48.5

PA-15         Dent, Charlie                    47.9

VA-02         Rigell, Scott                     50.1

VA-04         Forbes, Randy                  48.8

VA-10         Wolf, Frank                      48.8

WA-03        Herrera Beutler, Jaime        47.9

PA-16          Pitts, Joe                       46.3

OH-15         Stivers, Steve                 46.3

VA-05         Hurt, Robert                    45.9

WI-01         Ryan, Paul                       47.4

WI-06         Petri, Tom                      45.8

WI-07         Duffy, Sean                     47.8

WI-08         Ribble, Reid                      47.6

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