While it’s the awkward lunge for the water bottle that everyone will remember from Marco Rubio’s rebuttal of the State of the Union, what the content and tone of the address convey is significant. Yes, Rubio flubbed the speech, although what impact that has upon his chances for the 2016 Republican presidential nomination remains to be seen. However, the defensive tone of the speech, combined with the content, indicates a Republican Party on the ropes that is struggling with messaging and ideas. That was evident from the moment he opened his mouth and began to speak last night.
At the very outset it was clear that Rubio was on the defensive against what Republicans are correctly perceived as wanting to do. He discussed what Republicans didn’t want to do. He launched into the same old, and tired, attacks against President Obama. He effectively called him a communist, socialist, take your pick of various scare tactics used against anyone left of center. It was straight out of the Republican playbook, but with a tone that made clear the speaker was unsure if those scare tactics would work. After all, Mitt Romney ran on those exact same scare tactics and he’s still Former Gov. Romney, while President Obama just delivered another State of the Union address.
Most remarkable, though, was a prescient criticism of the Rubio rebuttal that I heard, although I forgot the person who mentioned it. It basically went along these lines:
Marco Rubio just criticized ‘big’ government by pointing out everything that government has done for him and his family.
The disconnect is amazing. That same contradiction is also indicative of a larger pattern whenever it comes to proposed government cuts. When asked, generically, Americans say government is too big. When asked, generically, Americans support spending cuts. However, when specific programs are mentioned as potential cuts, it becomes impossible to find programs where a majority of Americans support making cuts.
Republicans love to rail about the deficit and how cuts are necessary to close that deficit. I think some of them, especially in the leadership, finally understand that a majority of Americans made the connection between their financial gimmickry and the deficits we now have. More and more Americans understand that the large deficits aren’t primarily a spending problem, but are primarily a revenue problem. They are beginning to understand that taxes are government revenues and when taxes are cut, but the large and popular programs are not, deficits result. Americans would rather the wealthy pay their fair share than cut those programs. That is the death knell of the Republican economic agenda.
Now, enter Marco Rubio. He brings an impression of diversity to a party growing increasingly white and male in an electorate that is moving more and more away from that. He is also very conservative in a nation that is moving away from conservatism. He is seemingly the ideal Republican spokesperson to counter claims of racism and favoritism towards the rich. Then he begins to speak.
It’s the same Republican agenda, but just repackaged in more flowery language and with a different face on the cover. He even goes so far as to justify calls for cuts in government by pointing to those very successful government programs that helped him and his family. He hopes that Americans do not connect the dots and do not care to learn that those very programs were opposed by conservatives and pushed through by liberals.
The current era of conservatism is waning. A new era of liberalism is beginning to emerge. This is part of the ebb and flow of our history. One day in the future this emerging liberal era will wane and a new conservative one will emerge. There is, however, one other historical lesson to take with that ebb and flow: the reaction of the conservative eras never manages to completely eradicate the progress made during the liberal ones. Just keep that little tidbit in mind.
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