Motley Moose – Archive

Since 2008 – Progress Through Politics

First trackers of the day

Rasmussen reports this morning:

Obama 51

McCain 46

Rasmussen’s numbers yesterday were Obama 50, McCain 47, Others 1, and Undecided 2.  Rasmussen observes:

This is the 35th straight day that Obama’s support has been between 50% and 52%. With the exception of yesterday, McCain’s support has stayed between 44% and 46% during that stretch.

Research 2000/Daily Kos reports this morning:

Obama 50

McCain 45

The numbers yesterday were, that is, 50-44.  Note that Obama has been at 50 in this poll for four days; the number that is changing is McCain’s which has increased one point each day in the same period, 42, 43, 44, and 45.  Dkos Poll Meister DemFromCT comments:

On successive individual days in the R2K poll (different than the topline, which is a combined three day sample), Obama was up +6 Mon, +5 Tues and +5 Wed with a +5 Sun sample rolling off (rounding can take place.) These are starting to look like stable numbers. The Obama video will not be reflected until tomorrow.

In other words, it seems improbable that McCain’s number will rise again tomorrow.

Zogby saw both a rise in Obama’s numbers and a decline in McCain’s numbers:

Obama 50

McCain 43

Yesterday, the numbers were 49-44.  Zogby opines:

With less than a week to go, today’s numbers are not a good development for McCain. There is no momentum for him, and the clock is starting to run short. Worse news for McCain today is that Obama hit 50% in the single day of polling, while he dropped back to the low 40s. Obama increased his lead among independents compared to yesterday, has moved into a lead among men, and still holds about one in five conservatives. But six days, including Election Day, is an eternity and McCain cannot be counted out yet, though he may need a wing and a prayer.


  1. spacemanspiff

    You’ve spoiled me DC! I look at this in the morning and 538 later in the afternoon for analysis.


Comments are closed.