Motley Moose – Archive

Since 2008 – Progress Through Politics

Warning Will Robinson, Danger approaching

So I have come out from my cave, having succeeded in many of my projects including getting my coordinator off my back temporarily and various other deeds (I can’t say due to the statue of limitations ask me later)…

Yes so this danger I am warning about is very simple, despite all of the good news like McCain pulling out of Michigan or polling showing Obama on the ascent.

It reminds me of a game I played in The Political Machine back in 2004.  I was running as John Kerry against Condi Rice.  I was able to pull off a near landslide winning over 400 electoral votes (getting into Texas early helps alot), however I lost Massachusetts.  Yes John Kerry lost Massachusetts.  Why is this lame anecdote important because the McCain campaign is falling into the same trap, spending a vast proportion of its resources in a blue state to turn it red.  John McCain has a slight lead in MN according to a SUSA poll which looks kind of funny:

Minnesota behaves unlike other states in some respects. Among women, there is movement to McCain, at a time when McCain is losing ground among women elsewhere. Among voters younger than Obama, there movement to McCain, at a time when Obama is consolidating support among young voters elsewhere. Among voters older than McCain, there is movement to Obama, at a time when older voters elsewhere are sticking by McCain. In Western MN, which abuts the Dakotas, there is movement to McCain. In Northeastern MN, which overhangs Michigan, there is see-sawing back to Obama.


Now the regional changes makes sense the Western is a very conservative part and the NE (iron range) is a democratic stronghold.  However the movement according to age is complete hokum.

Markos points out that McCain is on the air a lot more than Obama and that is true in the tiny snatches of TV I’ve seen (the Da Vinci sleep plan is grueling).  I don’t have any real evidence of McCain being a expert on the economy, (I catch some of the Star Trib and Pi Press), but yet he is leading Obama by 4 on that topic.

So why use the sardonic title, because I think most people here would trade MN for OH, NC, NV, VA , and possibly IN.

I’ll be up for a little while longer before I get to sleep.

The giant


  1. spacemanspiff

    Now THIS is some serious SG shit.

    I’d forgotten how much I missed these diaries from you.


    (will be back when I chill out a bit ; )  )

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